Specular multipath causes erratic elevation tracking at low target detection, which can be described as two-point glint model. The multipath errors encountered in radar tracking of low-elevation targets have attracted increasing interest in recent years. Many techniques for reducing radar multipath angle-tracking errors are proposed, but the important influence of radar polarization is not paid enough attention to. The theoretical derivation and simulation analysis are carried out about the effect of radar antenna polarization and polarization scattering matrix of target and image target. This proposed model can provide a reference for low angle target tracking.